Printable Super Bowl Prop Bets
It was a record-setting NFL season on the scoreboard as games averaged an all-time high 49.6 combined points with 5.76 touchdowns per contest — a high-water mark in the Super Bowl era. Will Sunday’s 2021 Super Bowl follow suit? Super Bowl 55 is lined as such with the third-highest Over/Under (56.5 points) in Big Game history.
The Kansas City Chiefs' bid for the NFL's first back-to-back Super Bowl victories in 16 years ended with a thud Sunday night in Tampa, Fla. After the Chiefs took a 3-0 lead midway through the first quarter of Super Bowl LV, it was all QB Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense as the 'hosts' dominated the defending champs en route to a 31-9 victory - the second-most lopsided Super Bowl. Super Bowl Prop Bets First rush attempt: OVER 3.5 yards (+115) Fournette averaged just 3.78 yards per carry in the regular season but that number has skyrocketed to 4.40 in the playoffs with 12 or more attempts in all three games.
Still, a hefty O/U far from guarantees a high-scoring shootout as the Over has cashed only four times in the previous 12 Super Bowls with 50-point-plus totals, including only once in the seven most recent championship games.
Those trends in mind, here are some Super Bowl LV total TD prop bet picks and predictions.
2021 Super Bowl total touchdown prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:30 p.m. ET.
7.5 total touchdowns: Over: +170, Under: -225
Computing the implied probabilities here, there’s a 37.04% chance of the Chiefs and Buccaneers scoring 8 or more combined TDs and a 69.23% of 7 or fewer 6-point scores.
- Feb 2, 2014 - Fun ways to watch football, make predictions, and gamble. See more ideas about superbowl party, football pool, super bowl.
- Super Bowl Squares have, in recent years, been supplemented by more exotic Super Bowl party betting options. So here’s a handy Super Bowl prop-bet contest that can entertain you and your guests.
- Prop bets are a fun way to make the Super Bowl a little more interesting. Even if you’re not betting on them, they can be fun to track. We’ve got a printable scorecard for tracking the big moments between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.
Breaking down the TD totals in each team’s games this season — 19 for the Bucs and 18 for the Chiefs — and also the 30 most recent Super Bowls, we find 27 of the 37 (73%) Tampa Bay and Kansas City contests in 2020-21 featured 7 or fewer combined TDs and 24 of the previous 30 (80%) Super Bowls did as well, including 10 of the 12 (83.3%) with totals above 50 points.
Those 2020 games include, of course, the Chiefs’ 27-24 Week 12 win in Tampa which featured six combined TDs (three apiece).
It all points us toward the under 7.5 here as we recommend laying the -225.
Also see:
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and predictionBet Slippin’ PodcastSuper Bowl Prop BetsEach team to score 2 or more touchdowns: Yes: -300, No: +225
Yes has an implied probability of 75% while No is 30.77%.
That’s a hefty slant toward Yes, but our numbers say there’s still some value there.
In the 37 games this season for our 2021 Super Bowl combatants, each team found its way into the end zone at least twice in 28 contests (75.7%). In the 30 most recent Super Bowls, 24 (80%) have seen at least two TDs apiece from the two teams, including 10 of the 12 (83.3%) high-total contests.
That makes Yes a strong play, even at -300.
Special Betting Promotion!
BET $1, WIN $100 (in free bets) if the team you bet on in the Big Game wins. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Big Game now!
Special NFL Betting Offer: BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on Bucs now!
Exact total touchdowns: 5 (+425), 6 (+400), 7 (+425); 8 (+600)
These are the four likeliest totals Sunday, with 6 touchdowns given the highest implied probability (20%) and 8 TDs (14.29%) the least. Five and 7 are even with a 19.05% implied probability.
In our review of the 2020 games and last 30 Super Bowl totals, though, 7 TDs emerged as the most frequent sum in both categories at 21.6 and 20%, respectively.
So, 7 touchdowns being scored Sunday is the recommended play if you’re looking for a nice plus-money payout (+425) from a total touchdown prop.
Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
Bucs already targeting extension for Brady? (Bucs Wire)Follow Ken Pomponio on Twitter @kenpomp. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Leonard Fournette took some time to adjust to his new surroundings this season after being released by the Jacksonville Jaguars prior to Week 1. The former No. 4 draft pick now known as ‘Playoff Lenny’ has emerged as a regular contributor en route to Super Bowl 55. Below, we look at Leonard Fournette’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.
Leonard Fournette Super Bowl prop bets
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET.
Rushing yards: OVER 50.5 (+100)
Fournette has taken over the lead duties from teammate Ronald Jones II. He has started six straight games and has totaled 211 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in the Buccaneers’ three playoff contests.
Expect the timeshare to be more evenly split than it was in the NFC Championship when Jones went for just 16 yards on 10 carries, but both backs could top 50 yards as the Bucs lean on the run game to control the clock in Super Bowl 55.
Also see:
Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Tom Brady prop predictionsChiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and predictionSuper Bowl Prop Bets
First rush attempt: OVER 3.5 yards (+115)
Fournette averaged just 3.78 yards per carry in the regular season but that number has skyrocketed to 4.40 in the playoffs with 12 or more attempts in all three games.
The threat of play action with QB Tom Brady should keep the defensive attention off the running game early and should allow Fournette to find some early holes.
Special Betting Promotion!
BET $1, WIN $100 (in free bets) if the team you bet on in the Big Game wins. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM!Bet on the Big Game now!
Special NFL Betting Promotion:BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Bucs now!
Receptions made: OVER 3.5 (-112)
The passing game is where Fournette really found a groove late in the season and through the NFC playoffs. He has 14 receptions through three road postseason games on a total of 17 targets.
Look for Brady to target both running backs more often in the passing game in an effort to control the clock instead of looking deep to WRs Mike Evans, Chris Godwin or Antonio Brown.
Buccaneers’ first reception: +650
This follows suit of the above pick and brings with it a nice plus-money payout with a $10 bet potentially returning a profit of $65 early in the game.
The Chiefs allowed 5.4 receptions per game to running backs. We’re already expecting Fournette to be on the field on the Bucs’ first drive, and he’s a good bet while sharing just the fourth-best odds among Tampa Bay pass-catchers.
Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Bucs Wire:
Printable Super Bowl Prop Bets 2020
How Tampa Bay made it to the big gamePHOTOS: 1st look at Bucs jerseys with Super Bowl LV patchFollow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Printable Super Bowl Prop Bets 2020
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.