Pennzoil 400 Vegas Odds
A group of four notable names rank just behind Harvick and Truex to win the Pennzoil 400 at FanDuel, with Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano all fetching +800 odds. Pennzoil 400 odds to win this weekend's 2021 NASCAR Cup Series race at Las Vegas. 2 days ago Here's our expert preview of NASCAR's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, along with fantasy driver picks, Vegas odds, start time, and TV channel as the Cup Series makes its pays it. 2 days ago Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Las Vegas 2021 race. He's sharing his winner and leaderboard right here. 2021 Pennzoil 400 expert picks. 2 days ago The NASCAR Cup Series heads out to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the Pennzoil 400 Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Below we analyze the 2021 Pennzoil 400 NASCAR odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. 2021 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know. Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds.
Pennzoil 400 Best Bets
It’s only fitting that NASCAR’s fourth stop on the schedule is at the gambling capital of the world because the first three races have produced the highest odds total ever with three improbable winners.
It’s the first Las Vegas NASCAR weekend of 2021 with Sunday’s Pennzoil 400 and the most exciting news is that fans will be allowed to attend at 20% capacity after no fans were allowed in the fall Vegas race last season. Things are slowly getting back to normal living under a pandemic, but the winners from the first three races are anything but normal.
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Pennzoil 400 Picks
- Date: Sunday, March 7, 2021
- TV-Time: FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
2021 Filled with Long Shots!
The Daytona 500 was won by Michael McDowell at 65/1 odds and the Daytona road course race was won by Christopher Bell at a whopping 80/1 odds.
First-time NASCAR winners in the first two races for the first time since 1950.
And then last week at Homestead, William Byron led a race-high 102 laps won his second career Cup race and paid out at 25/1 odds.
Never ever have I seen anything like it and I’ve been creating NASCAR odds since Jeff Gordon was a rookie.
Last season we saw Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin combine to win 16 of the 36 races with a set-up edge they kept quiet about all season. They were the best with all three race packages. Everyone else was way behind, especially with the 550 horsepower package used on the larger tracks. Hamlin and Harvick won 11 of the 20 races using it. Neither of them has won yet.
I think the secret is out of the bag because there were some wild things happening at Homestead last week using the 550 HP package. New blood has been injected into the series from old teams that had struggled to keep up with Joe Gibbs and Stewart-Haas Racing teams.
Balanced Competition
The Ford camp has helped McDowell (6th last week) and Roush Fenway Racing be competitive again.
Roush’s Ryan Newman was seventh at Homestead and Chris Buescher led 57 laps, the second-most while winning the first stage and finished sixth in the second stage. Buescher looked like the best car in the first third of the race and then fell back to 19th-place after the sun went down.
Harvick was an ordinary fifth and Hamlin was 11th at Homestead and neither led a lap.
But it wasn’t just the Fords that found new speed.
It was Chevrolet as well with Hendrick Motorsports leading the way with three top-10 finishes and their best, last season's Cup Champion, Chase Elliott finishing 14th. They won two races with this week’s package last season and they’re already 1-for-1 with it in 2021.
Hendrick also produces for Chip Ganassi Racing drivers Kurt Busch and Ross Chastain as well as the JTG Daugherty drivers (Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 13th last week).
The ECR engines also worked well for Richard Childress Racing as Tyler Reddick was runner-up and the fastest driver on the track rim-riding in the final stages of the race when it became dark and Austin Dillon was 12th.
Even Daniel Suarez had a solid 15th-place finish using the ECR engines in his No. 99 Chevrolet co-owned by rapper Pitbull.
The bottom line is that we all have to change our betting strategies on these types of tracks with the 550 HP to include more candidates to win. 2020 is gone. There is parity now like I haven’t seen in ages. We can include up to 20 drivers with a legitimate chance to win this week instead of the usual crop of 10 or 12.
Martin Truex Jr. has been installed as one of the top contenders to win the Pennzoil 400 from Las Vegas on Sunday. (AP)
Handicapping NASCAR at Las Vegas
I’m chasing a betting strategy and willing to adapt on the fly and not rely so much on what happened last season.
The Homestead race showed me so much that I didn’t see last year and I’m relying on it heavily this week even though the two 1.5-mile layouts are vastly different.
I’m also looking deeper into what type of Goodyear tire is being used.
'Las Vegas is considered a low tire wear track, so our tread compounds are formulated to work on that type of surface,' said Greg Stucker, Goodyear’s director of racing. 'Last fall we changed the right-side tire at Las Vegas, Kansas, and Texas, aligning all three tracks. That move was made to give the cars more grip, and we saw some good results and had positive feedback from the teams so we decided to move forward with those same set-ups for this season.'
NASCAR Cup Odds - Pennzoil 400
- Martin Truex Jr. +600
- Kevin Harvick +650
- Brad Keselowski +650
- Joey Logano +650
- Denny Hamlin +900
- Kyle Larson +1000
- (Odds Subject to Change)
Hamlin led the most laps at Las Vegas (third) and Kansas (won) while Kurt Busch won at Las Vegas paying out at 28/1 odds, the longest shot to ever win in 26 Cup races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway which is notorious for having past champions or pre-race favorites to win. More on Busch later.
Hendrick Motorsports looked to have something different/better with all four of their cars having a chance to win and they should all be considered this week, especially the two with the longest odds beginning with Alex Bowman who William Hill sportsbooks have listed at 30/1 odds.
“Las Vegas is a track where we have had a lot of speed in the past and were in a position to go to victory lane in both events last season,” Bowman said. “Our 1.5-mile program is so strong at Hendrick Motorsports, and we have really dialed in our Chevrolet Camaros on these tracks. Coming off two top-10 finishes gives our Ally team a little bit of momentum, but we are hungry for more.”
Before Bowman’s ninth at Homestead, he had three straight top-fives on 1.5-mile tracks to close out 2020.
William Hill books have last week’s winner William Byron list at 18/1.
“Vegas has become really fun to race and a really good track for us on the No. 24 team,” Byron said. “It’s a challenge, though. You need to have a car that can be dynamic and change lanes around the track. The top of turns three and four is a really good place to run, especially if your car is a little loose. I think Vegas puts on a really good race with this aero package and it brings out the best. You can draft up on guys but still get clean air in the corners to make a pass on someone. Plus, the restarts are crazy. I really enjoy it.”
Chase Elliott is William Hill’s 5/1 favorite and Kyle Larson is 9/1.
But I made my biggest return on investment on a driver who uses a Hendrick Motorsports engine, last fall’s winner Kurt Busch who is 35/1 odds at William Hill. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has him 25/1.
I saw enough out of Busch last week at Homestead where he was a hard charger getting faster as the sun was going down. He was ninth in the first stage, third in the second stage, and finished eighth. But he had an unscheduled pit stop late because one of his lug nuts wasn’t tightened all the way.
I also love the idea of Busch winning again after finally getting his first-ever win on his home track in any series spanning over 22 years. His first home win and the home crowd wasn’t allowed to be there to support him. I think Busch is owed a party with his hometown fans after a win.
A Ford has won six of the last 10 races at LVMS, but I’m going Chevy strong this week.
Pennzoil 400 Contenders
Pennzoil 400
Top-5 Finish Prediction
1) #1 Kurt Busch (35/1)
2) #88 Alex Bowman (30/1)
3) #4 Kevin Harvick (6/1)
4) #24 William Byron (18/1)
5) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (15/2)
Odds Subject to Change - Per the SuperBook
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Las Vegas Pennzoil 400 Odds
Millions flock to Las Vegas every year with hopes of hitting the jackpot and returning as an instant millionaire. On Sunday, 40 drivers will line up with hopes their number lands in victory lane in the 2021 Pennzoil 400. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET from the 1.5-mile Las Vegas Motor Speedway, with defending champion Joey Logano starting from the No. 15 spot. Kevin Harvick, who has won twice at Las Vegas and will start on the pole Sunday, is the 9-2 favorite in the 2021 Pennzoil 400 odds from William Hill Sportsbook.
Denny Hamlin is 6-1, while Logano and Chase Elliott are both 15-2, Brad Keselowski is 8-1, and Kyle Larson is 17-2 on the 2021 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds board. Before you scour the 2021 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup and make your NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions for Sunday, be sure to see the latest 2021 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick’s fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed its NASCAR picks has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2021 NASCAR at Las Vegas race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard for the 2021 Pennzoil 400.
Top 2021 Pennzoil 400 predictions
The model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he’s a 12-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Las Vegas odds 2021. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Blaney has been tantalizingly close to Victory Lane at Las Vegas, finishing second in the 2015 Xfinity Series race and as high as fifth – three times – in his NASCAR Cup Series cars.
The Team Penske driver is off to a rough start in his 2021 campaign, finishing 30th at the Daytona 500, 15th at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 253, and 29th last week at the Dixie Vodka 400. However, Blaney was at the front in last spring’s Pennzoil 400 and last fall’s South Point 400, and has plenty of experience behind the wheel of his No. 12 Ford.
Blaney will begin from the No. 26 position in the 2021 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup, but McClure sees him getting to the front quickly and loves his value as part of your 2021 Pennzoil 400 bets.
And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, the top Vegas favorite at 9-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Pennzoil 400 starting grid. Harvick is a two-time winner at Las Vegas and is coming off a career-best nine victories in 2020, but he missed out on his chance to race for a second championship thanks to a disappointing stretch run.
Pennzoil 400 Vegas Odds Wild Card
That included a 10th place finish at the 2020 South Point 400 in Las Vegas after starting on the pole and a 16th-place finish in the last 1.5-mile oval race of the season in Texas. Harvick is now on an eight-race winless streak, and 9-2 is too steep a price to pay.
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Pennzoil 400 Vegas Odds Golden Nugget
The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR at Las Vegas odds 2021 of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2021 Pennzoil 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 Pennzoil 400 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Pennzoil 400 leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Hamlin’s win at the 2020 Daytona 500.
2021 Pennzoil 400 odds
Kevin Harvick 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Denny Hamlin 6-1
Chase Elliott 15-2
Joey Logano 15-2
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Kyle Larson 17-2
Kyle Busch 10-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
William Byron 18-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Kurt Busch 25-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Austin Dillon 40-1
Aric Almirola 40-1
Tyler Reddick 60-1
Cole Custer 75-1
Matt DiBenedetto 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Ryan Newman 100-1
Bubba Wallace 100-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Ross Chastain 125-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Michael McDowell 150-1
Erik Jones 150-1
Daniel Suarez 250-1
Ryan Preece 1000-1
Justin Haley 2500-1
Anthony Alfredo 2500-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Timmy Hill 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
Joey Gase 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1